Disappointment

It’s not even 9am and they have already downgraded the storm from 7+ to 3-7. They’ve also pushed back the timeframe for the storm as well. We’re right on track with the Official Twev1701 Weather Forecast of all hype, no snow, with lots of scattered disappointment. Just give a look for yourself:

…WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST MONDAY… THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW…WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST MONDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS: OTSEGO…WAYNE PA…LACKAWANNA…LUZERNE COUNTIES * HAZARDS: HEAVY SNOW…GUSTY WINDS…POOR VISIBILITY…BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS: POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR 3 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW. * TIMING: STEADY SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TAPER OFF MONDAY. THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL FALL TONIGHT. * TEMPERATURES: WILL REMAIN IN THE UPPER TEENS TO NEAR 20 FOR THE BALANCE OF THE STORM. * WINDS: NORTH WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH THIS AFTERNOON WILL BECOME NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS BY MONDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS: SNOW COVERED SLIPPERY ROADS…POOR VISIBILITY IN FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. TRAVEL CONDITIONS COULD BECOME DANGEROUS IN THE WATCH AREA. * UNCERTAINTIES: A SLIGHT WESTWARD MOVEMENT IN THE STORM TRACK COULD BRING HEAVIER SNOW TO CENTRAL NEW YORK AND PENNSYLVANIA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS… A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW…SLEET…OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES…AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. PLEASE REPORT SNOWFALL AND/OR ICE AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1-800-759-2992…OR BY EMAIL AT BGM.

I really hate it when I’m right sometimes.

Here is what the National Weather Service is currently saying:

…WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON… THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH…WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. * LOCATIONS: CATSKILLS…POCONOS AND SCRANTON WILKES BARRE AREA. * HAZARDS: HEAVY SNOW…GUSTY WINDS…POOR VISIBILITY…BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS: POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR 7 INCHES OR MORE OF SNOW. * TIMING: STEADY SNOW WILL DEVELOP SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND TAPER OFF MONDAY. THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL FALL SUNDAY NIGHT. * TEMPERATURES: WILL RANGE WITHIN A FEW DEGREES OF 20 FOR THE BALANCE OF THE STORM. * WINDS: NORTH WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH SUNDAY AFTERNOON WILL BECOME NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS BY MONDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS: SNOW COVERED SLIPPERY ROADS…POOR VISIBILITY IN FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. TRAVEL CONDITIONS COULD BECOME DANGEROUS IN THE WATCH AREA. * UNCERTAINTIES: THERE STILL IS MUCH UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE TRACK OF THE SNOWSTORM. IF THE STORM TRACKS FARTHER OUT TO SEA MUCH LESS SNOW WILL FALL…WITH LESS IMPACT ON THE WATCH AREA. CONVERSELY…IF THE STORM TRACKS CLOSER TO THE COAST THAN CURRENTLY PROJECTED…HEAVIER SNOW AND NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS… A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT BECAUSE HEAVY SNOW IS A POSSIBILITY…BUT NOT A CERTAINTY. AT THIS TIME…THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 7 INCHES OR MORE. TRAVEL CONDITIONS COULD BECOME HAZARDOUS…SO IT IS IMPORTANT TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE WATCH AREA. PLEASE REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1-800-759-2992…OR BY EMAIL AT BGM.

Here is what I am thinking. I think that this storm is suddenly going to ‘track east’ of us and we are going to get nothing. Nada. Zero. Zilch. Squat.

What am I being a pessimist? History my good friend, history. Everytime they put out one of these ‘warnings’ about a storm everyone panics and people like me who love snow get our hopes up. When it comes time for the storm to arrive, the storm suddenly tracks south or east leaving us snow loves disappointed in the false hype and the panicked people with enough French Toast supplies to last a week.

The Official Twev1701 Forecast is clouds with an abundance of false hype. Sadly we will see no snow my friends. You may now go about your day.

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